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capital in China must be quite low. Using the data from China's national accounts, we estimate the rate of return to capital … in China. We find that the aggregate rate of return to capital averaged 25% during 1978-1993, fell during 1993-1998, and … has become flat at roughly 20% since 1998. This evidence suggests that the aggregate return to capital in China does not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084802
2003), and that this leads to the exclusion of more than $3 trillion of business intangible capital stock. To assess the … importance of this omission, we add capital to the standard sources-of-growth framework used by the BLS, and find that the … rate of change of output per worker increases more rapidly when intangibles are counted as capital, and capital deepening …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036821
labor quality and to capital quantity and quality, leading to significant rearrangements of the growth pattern of MFP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615772
This paper is about the size of fiscal multipliers and the sources of recovery from the Great Depression. Its baseline result is that 89.1 percent of the 1939:Q1-1941:Q4 recovery can be attributed to fiscal policy innovations, 34.1 percent to monetary policy innovations and the remaining -23.2...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646478
We develop a dynamic model of trading and investment with limited aggregate resources to study investment cycles. Unverifiable idiosyncratic investment opportunities imply market prices to play a role of rent distribution, distorting private investment incentives from a social point of view....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951203
years. In particular, we incorporate in GDP the dollar value of mortality, treating it as depreciation in human capital … analogous to how net domestic product (NDP) treats depreciation of physical capital. Because mortality tends to be pro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969264
We provide a new and superior measure of U.S. GDP, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the (noisy) expenditure-side and income-side estimates. Its properties - particularly as regards serial correlation - differ markedly from those of the standard expenditure-side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969381
Official price indexes, such as the CPI, are imperfect indicators of inflation calculated using ad hoc price formulae different from the theoretically well-founded inflation indexes favored by economists. This paper provides the first estimate of how accurately the CPI informs us about "true"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969400
This paper proposes foundations and a methodology for survey-based tracking of well-being. First, we develop a theory in which utility depends on "fundamental aspects" of well-being, measurable with surveys. Second, drawing from psychologists, philosophers, and economists, we compile a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950672
Forecasts for the two or three years after mid-2014 have converged on growth rates of real GDP in the range of 3.0 to 3.5 percent, a major stepwise increase from realized growth of 2.1 percent between mid-2009 and mid-2014. However, these forecasts are based on the demand for goods and services....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950750