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The downside risk CAPM (DR-CAPM) can price the cross section of currency returns. The market-beta differential between high and low interest rate currencies is higher conditional on bad market returns, when the market price of risk is also high, than it is conditional on good market returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969442
interpretation does not hold true in reduced-form SDF models that only rely on the absence of arbitrage in asset markets. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890096
We examine carry trade returns formed from the G10 currencies. Performance attributes depend on the base currency. Dynamically spread-weighting and risk-rebalancing positions improves performance. Equity, bond, FX, volatility, and downside equity risks cannot explain profitability....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950638
In this paper we document first that, in contrast with their widely perceived excess returns, popular carry trade strategies yield low systemic-risk-adjusted returns. In particular, we show that carry trade returns are highly correlated with the return of a VIX rolldown strategy --i.e., the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950969
for foreign exchanges) data, it is found that risk-free arbitrage opportunities--free lunch--do occur in the foreign … pair and (b) triangular arbitrage relationship involving three currency pairs. The latter occur much more often than the … former. Such arbitrage opportunities tend to occur when the markets are active and volatile. Over the 12-year, tick …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951011
Differences in real interest rates across developed economies are puzzlingly large and persistent. I propose a simple explanation: Bonds issued in the currencies of larger economies are expensive because they insure against shocks that affect a larger fraction of the world economy. I show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271408
Separate literatures study violations of uncovered interest parity using regression-based and portfolio- based methods. We propose a decomposition of these violations into a cross-currency, a between-time-and-currency, and a cross-time component that allows us to analytically relate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011250948
We empirically examine the order flows spillovers between Nasdaq and the Forex markets in 2008 and 2009. With emphasis on a role of high-frequency traders (HFTs) who aggregate information between the two markets as well as within each market, our results show that HFTs in Nasdaq trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266645
. Theory consistent with dollar appreciation in the crisis suggests that their impact should be greater for countries that have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009277235
The carry trade is the investment strategy of going long in high-yield target currencies and short in low-yield funding currencies. Recently, this naive trade has seen very high returns for long periods, followed by large crash losses after large depreciations of the target currencies. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008628426