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General Theory. The first is that there may be a continuum of steady state unemployment rates. The second is that beliefs …-fulfilling. The paper reconciles Keynesian economics with general equilibrium theory without invoking the assumption of frictions that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005720521
macroeconomics is firmly grounded in economic theory. We disagree and explain why. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005778451
Changes in both the macroeconomy and in macroeconomics suggest that the IS-LM-AS model is no longer the best baseline model of short-run fluctuations for teaching and policy analysis. This paper presents an alternative model that replaces the assumption that the central bank targets the money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005049944
According to the standard model, advertising is remarkably sensitive to profit margins. Firms advertise to stimulate demand for their products. They advertise high-margin products aggressively and low-margin ones hardly at all. In macroeconomics, variations in profit margins over the business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010592552
rate in particular contain implicit theories of unemployment. In some cases, the theory is explicit. When the nominal rate …-developed account of turnover, wage determination, and unemployment. The DMP model is a clashing theory of unemployment, in the sense …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147968
This paper studies why the General Theory had so much impact on the economics profession through the 1960s, why that … impact began to wane in the 1970s, and why many economic policymakers cling to many of the tenets of the General Theory. We … qualitatively to patterns discussed in the General Theory, that econometric developments in the area of simultaneous equations made …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008776826
This paper develops a model of unemployment fluctuations. The model keeps the architecture of the general-disequilibrium model of Barro and Grossman (1971) but takes a matching approach to the labor and product markets instead of a disequilibrium approach. On the product and labor markets, both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011144242
Periods of low household wealth in United States macroeconomic history have also been periods of high business cycle volatility. This paper develops a simple model that can exhibit self-fulfilling fluctuations in the expected path for unemployment. The novel feature is that the scope for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189093
Every year has large demand and supply shifts associated with the seasons, regardless of the phase of the business cycle. Based on measures dating back to the 1940s, the seasonal shifts reject the hypotheses that demand shifts affect employment outcomes significantly more in recession years than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565077
We analyze the dynamics of a simple growth model in which production occurs with a delay while new capital is installed (time-to-build). The time-to-build technology is shown to yield a system of functional (delay) differential equations with a unique steady state. We demonstrate that the steady...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248988