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We develop a new parametric estimation procedure for option panels observed with error which relies on asymptotic … the spot volatility extracted from the options and the one obtained nonparametrically from high-frequency data on the … underlying asset. We further construct new formal tests of the model fit for specific regions of the volatility surface and for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271459
returns and the equity variance premium. The latter is increasing in risk aversion in a wide variety of economic settings. We … tackle several measurement issues assessing a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models. We then examine the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095630
alleviate microstructure frictions for realized volatility estimation. Size and power of the procedure are explored through … intraday data and nonparametric volatility measures, along with a new jump detection technique and appropriate conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084541
Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005579957
We argue exogenous random treatment is insufficient for valid inference regarding the sign and magnitude of causal effects in dynamic environments. In such settings, treatment responses must be understood as contingent upon the typically unmodeled policy generating process. With binary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189104
estimation of our model suggests that a newly discovered factor needs to clear a much higher hurdle, with a t-ratio greater than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950737
theory is quantitatively congruent with modest departures from random walk behavior with imprecise estimation of a well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010785624
The equity premium, namely the expected return on the aggregate stock market less the government bill rate, is of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796711
multiple stochastic volatility processes. The estimation is based on annual consumption data from 1929 to 1959, monthly … are omitted from the estimation). Three independent volatility processes capture different frequency dynamics; our … predictable component and use high-frequency data, whenever available, to efficiently identify the volatility processes. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821674
Since Black, Jensen, and Scholes (1972) and Fama and MacBeth (1973), the two-pass cross-sectional regression (CSR) methodology has become the most popular approach for estimating and testing asset pricing models. Statistical inference with this method is typically conducted under the assumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005025630