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We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes: simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829472
conclusions include: (1) There is little evidence that inflation targeting affects performance in advanced economies, but some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008622347
. Specifically, we estimate a series of simple models to measure the impact of inflation targeting on the dispersion of private … sector forecasts of inflation. Using a panel data set that includes 15 countries over 20 years we find no convincing evidence … that adopting an inflation targeting regime leads to a reduction in the dispersion of private sector forecasts of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631102
In the summer of 2010, the Federal Reserve's and the Swedish Riksbank's inflation forecasts were below the former …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652777
Inflation targeting is a monetary-policy strategy that is characterized by an announced numerical inflation target, an … implementation of monetary policy that gives a major role to an inflation forecast and has been called forecast targeting, and a high … stabilizing both inflation and the real economy, and has, as of 2010, been adopted by about 25 industrialized and emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008776828
McCallum and Nelson's (2004) criticism of targeting rules for the analysis of monetary policy is rebutted. First, McCallum and Nelson's preference to study the robustness of simple monetary-policy rules is no reason at all to limit attention to simple instrument rules; simple targeting rules may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005575792
The paper considers three methods for eliminating the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates and thus for restoring symmetry to domain over which the central bank can vary its policy rate. They are: (1) abolishing currency (which would also be a useful crime-fighting measure); (2) paying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036814
The paper aims at explaining why the Bank of Japan has not adopted inflation targeting, despite calls for such a policy … give clues to changing reasons against inflation targeting. Inflation targeting was not adopted in Japan in the early years … specific number for an appropriate inflation rate. A Bank of Japan study, completed in October 2000, did not give any clear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084450
of expectations, using either price level or inflation targeting, because the zero lower bound on interest rates means … history dependent strategy, associated with inflation targeting. However, because actions speak louder than words, management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084505
This paper analyzes the role of transparency and credibility in accounting for the widely divergent macroeconomic effects of three episodes of deliberate monetary contraction: the post-Civil War deflation, the post-WWI deflation, and the Volcker disinflation. Using a dynamic general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084568