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The "Masters Hypothesis" is the claim that unprecedented buying pressure from new financial index investors created a massive bubble in agricultural futures prices at various times in recent years. This paper analyzes the market impact of financial index investment in agricultural futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969324
We present a simple methodology that integrates commodity and asset pricing models. Given current evidence on the financialization of commodity markets, valuable information about commodity risk premiums can be extracted from asset pricing models and used to substantially improve the estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950668
traditional measure of risk, equity volatility. We show that each variable has a statistically significant effect on the timing of … option exercises, with volatility causing executives to hold their options longer in order to preserve remaining option value … for the volatility and ambiguity variables imply similar magnitudes of economic impact upon the exercise decision, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950897
Many financial instruments are designed with embedded leverage such as options and leveraged exchange traded funds (ETFs). Embedded leverage alleviates investors' leverage constraints and, therefore, we hypothesize that embedded leverage lowers required returns. Consistent with this hypothesis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951107
volatility over the next month, but with decreasing realized volatility. These predictability patterns are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951430
the spot volatility extracted from the options and the one obtained nonparametrically from high-frequency data on the … underlying asset. We further construct new formal tests of the model fit for specific regions of the volatility surface and for … index options we extend the popular double-jump stochastic volatility model to allow for time-varying jump risk premia and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271459
We document that the implied volatility skew of S&P 500 index puts is non-decreasing in the disaster index and risk …-the-money puts, thereby steepening the implied volatility skew and resolving the puzzle. Consistent with the data, the model also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276422
Financial markets have become increasingly global in recent decades, yet the pricing of internationally traded assets continues to depend strongly upon local risk factors, leading to several observations that are difficult to explain with standard frameworks. Equity returns depend upon both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228888
We investigate a structural model of market and firm-level dynamics in order to jointly price long-dated S&P 500 options and tranche spreads on the five-year CDX index. We demonstrate the importance of calibrating the model to match the entire term structure of CDX index spreads because it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008601669
We examine the pricing of aggregate volatility risk in the cross-section of stock returns. Consistent with theory, we … find that stocks with high sensitivities to innovations in aggregate volatility have low average returns. In addition, we … find that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility relative to the Fama and French (1993) model have abysmally low average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710641