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the absence of distortionary taxes and induces efficient intergenerational risksharing. If agents are more risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969262
When limited commitment hinders unsecured credit, assets help by serving as collateral. We study models where assets differ in pledgability - the extent to which they can be used to secure loans - and hence liquidity. Although many previous analyses of imperfect credit focus on producers, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969326
Over the past couple of decades, and especially since the financial crisis in 2008-09, real interest rates have collapsed. For much of the past two years they have been negative, but they have been trending down for some while. But how far have real rates fallen? This note computes a measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950716
Identification problems arise naturally in forward-looking models when agents observe more than economists. We illustrate the problem in several New Keynesian and macro-finance models in which the Taylor rule includes a shock unseen by economists. We show that identification of the rule's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011250950
We develop new procedures for maximum likelihood estimation of affine term structure models with spanned or unspanned stochastic volatility. Our approach uses linear regression to reduce the dimension of the numerical optimization problem yet it produces the same estimator as maximizing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262793
of interest rates. We use a model of risk-averse arbitrageurs to develop measures of how the maturity structure of debt … held by the public might affect the pricing of level, slope and curvature term-structure risk. We find these Treasury …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652851
to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which allows us to … decompose the equity risk premium by maturity. We find that both expected dividend growth rates and risk premia exhibit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294891
This paper develops new results for identification and estimation of Gaussian affine term structure models. We establish that three popular canonical representations are unidentified, and demonstrate how unidentified regions can complicate numerical optimization. A separate contribution of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421968
Value stocks have higher exposure to innovations in the nominal bond risk premium, which measures the markets …' perception of cyclical variation in future output growth, than growth stocks. The ICAPM then predicts a value risk premium … when nominal bond risk premia are low and declining, are associated with lower future dividend growth rates on value minus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008635918
exhibits a surprising amount of time variation. A simple utility framework of mortgage choice points to the bond risk premium … as theoretical determinant: when the bond risk premium is high, FRM payments are high, making ARMs more attractive. We … bond risk premium. This is true regardless of whether bond risk premia are measured using forecasters' data, a VAR term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710165