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first on Fisher's influences in monetary theory (the quantity theory of money, the Fisher effect, Gibson's Paradox, the … monetary theory of business cycles, and the Phillips Curve, and empirics, e.g. distributed lags.). Then we discuss Fisher and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009226780
individuals make insurance choices for low-probability, high-consequence events. Participants were told the probability and … observe. The majority of individuals (63 percent) behaved in ways that were consistent with expected utility theory, although …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133524
Climate change is real and dangerous. Exactly how bad it will get, however, is uncertain. Uncertainty is particularly … bottom value also implies higher uncertainty about the temperature increase, a definite bad. Under reasonable assumptions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011159896
the model, we can get around this problem by attaching probability distributions to various parameters and then simulating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262915
We inject aggregate uncertainty - risk and ambiguity - into an otherwise standard business cycle model and describe its … consequences. We find that increases in uncertainty generally reduce consumption, but they do not account, in this model, for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265740
We introduce a simple, easy to implement instrument for jointly eliciting risk and ambiguity attitudes. Using this … significantly overstated when risk neutrality is assumed. This highlights the interplay between risk and ambiguity attitudes as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189100
How should we evaluate public policies or projects to avert, or reduce the likelihood of, a catastrophic event? Examples might include inspection and surveillance programs to avert nuclear terrorism, investments in vaccine technologies to help respond to a "mega-virus," or the construction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821657
outcomes, over the nature and extent of the uncertainty over those outcomes, and over the framework that should be used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821658
.S. household survey, we measure ambiguity aversion using custom- designed questions based on Ellsberg urns. As theory predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821732
towards risk. We find that the uncertainty associated with anthropogenic climate change imply carbon taxes much higher than …There is great uncertainty about the impact of anthropogenic carbon on future economic wellbeing. We use DSICE, a DSGE … implied by deterministic models. This analysis indicates that the absence of uncertainty in DICE2007 and similar models may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821789