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Recent empirical work has made headway in exploring the non-linear dynamics of deviations from the law of one price and" purchasing power parity that are apt to arise from transaction costs. However, there are two important facets of this work that need improvement. First, the choice of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710494
deviations from panel data. They are the bias associated with inapproiate aggregation across heterogeneous coefficients, time … annual panel data set of real exchange rates for 21 OECD countries from 1948 to 2002, our point estimate of the half-life is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005588912
We study the extent of macroeconomic convergence/divergence among euro area countries. Our analysis focuses on four variables (unemployment, inflation, relative prices and the current account), and seeks to uncover the role played by monetary union as a convergence factor by using non-euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969299
The downside risk CAPM (DR-CAPM) can price the cross section of currency returns. The market-beta differential between high and low interest rate currencies is higher conditional on bad market returns, when the market price of risk is also high, than it is conditional on good market returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969442
-crisis suggests a structural change. Panel regressions for a sample of almost 100 countries over 1983-2013 confirm that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969460
We offer a critique of the popular notion that the log-change of the real exchange rate equals the log-difference between the IMRSs of economically distinct agents in two economies. Contrary to existing claims, we show that this interpretation does not hold true in reduced-form SDF models that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890096
We examine carry trade returns formed from the G10 currencies. Performance attributes depend on the base currency. Dynamically spread-weighting and risk-rebalancing positions improves performance. Equity, bond, FX, volatility, and downside equity risks cannot explain profitability....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950638
What drives countercyclical volatility? A large literature has documented that many economic variables are more disperse in recessions, but this could either occur because shocks get bigger or because firms respond more to shocks which are the same size. Existing evidence that the dispersion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950688
Carry-trade activity and foreign participation in local-currency-bond markets in emerging countries have increased dramatically over the past decade. In light of these trends, we revisit the question of the optimal exchange-rate regime when developing countries can borrow internationally with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950749
We examine firm participation in global supply chains to help explain a puzzling decline in protectionist demands in the U.S. despite increased import competition and ongoing currency undervaluation. To explain firm responses to undervaluation, we rely on advances in the international trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950789