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and trend real GDP growth rates. The concept is based on the Fisherian theory that an increase in longer-term inflation … expectations would be reflected in longer-term interest rates and the Golden Rule theory that in longer-term equilibrium the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828643
predictability varies over time, however, particularly across different monetary regimes. In accord with our proposed theory, regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829510
In the summer of 2010, the Federal Reserve's and the Swedish Riksbank's inflation forecasts were below the former's mandate-consistent rate and the latter's target, respectively, and their unemployment forecasts were above sustainable rates. Given the mandates of the Federal Reserve and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652777
-market economies. The chapter discusses the history, macroeconomic effects, theory, practice, and future of inflation targeting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008776828
Under the classical gold standard (1880-1914), the Bank of France maintained a stable discount rate while the Bank of England changed its rate very frequently. Why did the policies of these central banks, the two pillars of the gold standard, differ so much? How did the Bank of France manage to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950888
We analyze a new class of equilibria that emerges when a central bank conducts monetary policy by setting an interest rate (as an arbitrary function of its available information) and letting the private sector set the quantity traded. These equilibria involve a run on the central bank's interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886183
The paper considers three methods for eliminating the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates and thus for restoring symmetry to domain over which the central bank can vary its policy rate. They are: (1) abolishing currency (which would also be a useful crime-fighting measure); (2) paying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036814
, Mexico, and Uruguay. The reasons for creating such units are discussed from the" standpoint of monetary theory. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828510
The paper proposes a two-step approach to assessing the extent to which the fall in credit in crisis-stricken East Asian countries was a supply- or demand-induced phenomenon. The first step is based on the estimation of a demand function for excess liquid assets by commercial banks. Such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828854
This paper is a brief evaluation of the Eurosystem's monetary-policy regime after its first year, in particular of the extent to which it is similar to inflation targeting as practiced by an increasing number of central banks. I examine the Eurosystem's goals, framework for monetary-policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829001