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While empirical evidence nds only a weak relationship between nominal exchangerates and macroeconomic fundamentals, forex markets participants often attribute ex-change rate movements to a macroeconomic variable. The variables that matter, how-ever, appear to change over time and some variable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858318
The challenge of international term structure models is to simultaneously account for the properties of interest rate term structures and foreign exchange rates within an arbitrage-free framework. We extend the quadratic term structure models proposed in Leippold and Wu (2002) to multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858853
the other hand, the recent microstructure approach to exchange rates has shown that most exchange rate volatility at short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859103
order belief", on asset price volatility. The paper shows that heterogeneous expectations induce higher order beliefs and … that heterogeneous expectation asset pricing models thoretically generate more volatility than rational expectation models … results shows that a model with higher order beliefs generates a level of volatility in line with the price volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857785
pricing model. Implied volatility smiles appear to be explained by the negative asymmetry of the filtered historical … hedging in the presence of large volatility shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858303
This paper extends the class of deterministic volatility Heath-Jarrow-Morton (1992) models to a Markov chain stochastic … volatility framework allowing for jump discontinuities and a variety of deformations of the term structure of forward rate … volatilities. Analytical solutions for the dynamics of the volatility term structure are obtained. Semimartingale decompositions of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858311
from a given set defined by the parametric volatility specification and the structure of a continuous time Markov chain that … modulates the volatility function. The first stochastic volatility specification generates jump discontinuities in volatility and … shape-preserving evolution of the volatility term structure in thefuture. The second specification allows, in addition, for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858312
We propose a simple class of semiparametric multivariate GARCH models, allowing for asymmetric volatilities and time-varying conditional correlations. Estimates for time-varying conditional correlations are constructed by means of a convex combination of estimates for averaged correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858366
) estimation of the conditional mean vector and the conditional volatility matrix of a multivariate interest rate series. The … principal components, a multivariate CCC-GARCH model, or the exponential smoothing volatility forecasting technique used by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858367
We show that the volatility of a price process, which is usuallyregarded as an impediment to financial growth, can serve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858396