Showing 1 - 10 of 99
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001675128
Can the central bank of a small open economy be mandated with the maintenance of both fixed exchange rates and monetary … independence, and still succeed in the long term? Looking at a pioneering experiment put in place by the National Bank of Belgium … stabilisation of exchange rates, but through the stabilisation of central bank liquidity (i.e. the ‘margin of manoeuvre’ available …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008739739
Modern central banks do not only announce the interest rate decision, they also communicate a "story" that explains why they reached the particular decision. When decisions are made by a committee, it could be difficult to find a story that is both consistent with the decision and representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835402
Bank of New Zealand and the Norges Bank, the two central banks with the longest history of publishing interest rate paths …. We derive and estimate a policy rule for a central bank that is reluctant to deviate from its forecasts. The rule can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835407
There are two main approaches to modelling monetary policy; simple instrument rules and optimal policy. We propose an alternative that combines the two by extending the loss function with a term penalizing deviations from a simple rule. We analyze the properties of the modified loss function by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835420
How do monetary policy committee (MPC) members form their views about the appropriate interest rate? To what extent do they change their minds during the deliberations in the interest rate meeting? How important is the Chairman? The theoretical literature makes assumptions about these issues. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835422
We employ information-gap decision theory to derive a robust monetary policy response to Knightian parameter … uncertainty. We show that such information-gap robustness is a proxy for probability of policy success. Hence, policies that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481435
We use Bayesian methods to estimate the preferences of the US Federal Reserve by assuming that monetary policy is performed optimally under commitment since the mid-sixties. For this purpose, we distinguish between three subperiods, i.e. the pre-Volcker, the Volcker-Greenspan and the Greenspan...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481448
This paper attempts to measure the reaction of monetary policy to the stock market. We apply the procedure of Rigobon and Sack (2003) to identify and estimate a VAR in the presence of heteroskedasticity. This procedure fully takes into account the endogeneity of interest rates and stock returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063076
communicated has, according to theory, implications for the outcome of monetary policy. Norges Bank has gone further than most … other central banks in communicating its policy intentions. The Bank publishes its own interest rate forecast, along with … forecasts of inflation, the output gap, and other key variables. Moreover, Norges Bank aims to be precise about how the policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063078