Showing 1 - 10 of 18
This paper uses a multi-factor pricing model with time-varying risk exposures and premia to examine whether the 2003-2006 period has been characterized, as often claimed by a number of commentators and policymakers, by a substantial missprcing of publicly traded real estate assets (REITs). The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009393966
This paper analyzes how monetary policy responds to exchange rate movements in open economies, paying particular attention to the two-way interaction between monetary policy and exchange rate movements. We address this issue using a structural VAR model that is identified using a combination of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481446
Small or medium-scale VARs are commonly used in applied macroeconomics for forecasting and evaluating the shock … forecasting context. While none of the methods clearly emerges as best, some techniques turn out to be useful to improve the … forecasting performance. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905649
In modelling macroeconomic time series, often a monthly indicator of global real economic activity is used. We propose a new indicator, named World steel production, and compare it to other existing indicators, precisely the Kilian's index of global real economic activity and the index of OECD...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277157
benchmarks in terms of point and density forecasting. The gains are particular high when the full distribution is predicted and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009292070
The development of models for variables sampled at di¤erent frequencies has attracted substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview of the most common techniques, including bridge equations, MIxed DAta Sampling (MIDAS) models, mixed frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835415
. Furthermore, when comparing the whole forecasting period; model combination outperforms Norges Banks own point forecast for … and data to be used in the forecasting process. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481434
This paper examines the predictive power of weather for electricity prices in day-ahead markets in real time. We find that next-day weather forecasts improve the forecast accuracy of day-ahead electricity prices substantially, suggesting that weather forecasts can price the weather premium....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481438
economy gradually, then order flow can have both explanatory and forecasting power for exchange rates. Using one year of high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481452