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Past and future evolution of inflation, p(t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Japan is modeled. Both variables are … curve. This Phillips curve is characterized by a negative relation between inflation and unemployment and their synchronous … evolution: UE(t) = -0.94p(t) + 0.045. Effectively, growing unemployment has resulted in decreasing inflation since 1982. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260050
reciprocal relationship. The variable considered are: unemployment, inflation, consumptions, investments and current accounts. We … between investment and unemployment, c) we show the revival of the Phillips curve, especially in Germany, d) we test for the … relationship between unemployment and the Government deficit, e) we show the existence of a relationship between unemployment and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261122
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
policies and to study the problem of unemployment. These notes mean to provide an exhaustive introduction to the study of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506108
The deep recession has led to a marked deterioration in labour market conditions in the OECD area. This paper, which draws heavily on other ongoing analytical work at the OECD, takes stock of recent labour market developments, highlights some of the key uncertainties in the early stages of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542497
, in many African countries, unemployment rates are low and growth is seldom jobless. Regrettably, most of the poor work … long hours and cannot make ends meet while the violation of basic human rights is not uncommon. Again, youth unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107833
The formation of the European Union (EU) is the one of the biggest political – economic events of the last 50 years. The aim of this study is to develop EU economy functioning system dynamic model. Main research method is system dynamics. General scheme of EU economy system dynamic model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259562
This note analyses the interaction between nominal wage stickiness and costly employment adjustment in a small closed-economy New Keynesian model with simple rule-based or optimal monetary policy. The results show (1) the costs of nominal and real rigidity to depend on the policy regime, (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560067
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
This paper estimates a stylized search and matching model on data for Australia covering the period 1978-2008. Using Bayesian methods we find that the model does a fairly good job in replicating the data. Surprisingly, we find a large value for the worker’s bargaining power and low vacancy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259078