Although tactical voting attracts a great deal of attention, it is very hard to measure as it requires knowledge of both individuals' voting choices as well as their unobserved preferences. In this paper, we present a simple empirical strategy to nonparametrically identify tactical voting...

We exploit a voting reform in France to estimate the causal effect of exit poll information on turnout and bandwagon voting. Before the change in legislation, individuals in some French overseas territories voted after the election result had already been made public via exit poll information...

This study explores people's risk attitudes after having suffered large real-world losses following a natural disaster. Using the margins of the 2011 Australian floods (Brisbane) as a natural experimental setting, we find that homeowners who were victims of the floods and face large losses in...

We present substantial evidence for the existence of a bias in the distribution of births of leading US politicians in favor of those who were the eldest in their cohort at school. The result is robust to both parametric and nonparametric tests and is not driven by measurement error, redshirting...

Extant research consistently shows a small but long lasting penalty in scholastic performance and choice of professional career for the youngest individuals in a cohort. There is also convincing evidence for a tendency for the youngest children in the classroom to be disadvantaged in...

We investigate whether professional agents react to changes of incentives during dynamic contests as predicted by contest theory. Using a large data set of point by point ball tracking data from tennis matches over the period 2005-2009, we exploit the randomised variation in point results that...