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rates across countries. An extension of the analysis used by Ball and Sheridan finds that convergence in inflation rates …Ball and Sheridan (forthcoming) show that OECD countries with a history of high inflation before the 1990s have … subsequently experienced a larger degree of disinflation than countries with a history of low inflation. They label this process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423647
. These include the distinction between the short and long-run trade-offs between inflation and unemployment, and the changing … level of the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), particularly in the 1970s. We estimate Phillips curves … discussion of the changing role of the Phillips curve in the intellectual framework used to analyse inflation within the Reserve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426716
This paper presents a small model of the Australian macroeconomy. The model is empirically based, aggregate in nature and consists of five estimated equations – for non-farm output, the real exchange rate, import prices, unit labour costs and consumer prices. The stylised facts underlying each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125144
, by reducing the extent of intermediated finance, can reduce output below potential and keep inflation below the central … this means that expected inflation is below target in the short run. Such a policy is optimal because it can help to avoid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423538
This paper presents a new measure of underlying inflation: component-smoothed inflation. It approaches the problem of … determining underlying inflation from a different direction than previous methods. Rather than excluding or trimming out volatile … signal. Because our underlying inflation measure includes all CPI items at all times, it is robust to sustained relative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423549
Almost a decade ago David Gruen and Geoff Shuetrim constructed a small macroeconomic model of the Australian economy. A comprehensive description of this model was subsequently provided by Beechey <em>et al</em> (2000). Since that time, however, the model has continued to evolve. This paper provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423570
The Phillips curve has generally been estimated in a linear framework. This paper investigates the possibility that the Phillips curve is indeed a curve, and shows that a convex short-run Phillips curve may be a more accurate representation of reality than the traditionally used linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423618
the headline CPI, exclusion-based ‘cores’, and trimmed means as measures of underlying inflation. Overall, we find that … support to the use of trimmed means as useful measures of underlying inflation at the current juncture where the growth of … China and other emerging markets is having two offsetting effects on global inflation. Whereas some central banks have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426687
favour of the SIPC over the low-inflation period. Parameter estimates are sensitive to inflation measures and sample periods … the fact that inflation has become difficult to model since the introduction of inflation targeting. Over sample periods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265303
This paper estimates a range of single-equation models of inflation for Australia. We find that traditional models …-Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) in explaining trimmed mean inflation, both in terms of in-sample fit and significance of coefficients … including a direct measure of inflation expectations, but we still find that the unemployment rate or growth in marginal costs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008505436