Showing 1 - 10 of 72
prices are indexed to past inflation. These problems arise because of a type of misspecification and a lack of suitable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565770
include that a positive output gap would be less inflationary, but the cost of reducing inflation, once established, would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005232576
This paper presents a small model of the Australian macroeconomy. The model is empirically based, aggregate in nature and consists of five estimated equations – for non-farm output, the real exchange rate, import prices, unit labour costs and consumer prices. The stylised facts underlying each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125144
Almost a decade ago David Gruen and Geoff Shuetrim constructed a small macroeconomic model of the Australian economy. A comprehensive description of this model was subsequently provided by Beechey <em>et al</em> (2000). Since that time, however, the model has continued to evolve. This paper provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423570
Analysts typically use a variety of techniques to forecast inflation. These include both ‘bottom-up’ approaches, for … near-term forecasting, as well as econometric methods (such as mark-up models of inflation, which have been found to … perform quite well for Australia – see de Brouwer and Ericsson (1998)). One of the econometric approaches to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426730
of incipient changes in inflation. This paper reviews five methods of estimating it for Australian GDP data, including … across the range of methods examined. Inflation equations are substantially improved when any measure of the gap is included …, and output gaps generally explain innovations in inflation better than output growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426743
This paper examines the statistical properties of inflation in a sample of inflation-targeting and non-inflation …-targeting countries. First, it analyses the time-varying volatility of a measure of the persistent component of inflation. Based on this … measure, inflation-targeting countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom) have experienced a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008585854
Inflation rates across countries tend to exhibit a degree of co-movement. In this paper we use a panel vector … prices are found to be more important than common movements in real activity as a driver of 'global inflation' dynamics …. However, commodity prices and common real activity cannot explain all of the co-movement in inflation. Even when controlling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815230
favour of the SIPC over the low-inflation period. Parameter estimates are sensitive to inflation measures and sample periods … the fact that inflation has become difficult to model since the introduction of inflation targeting. Over sample periods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265303
This paper estimates a range of single-equation models of inflation for Australia. We find that traditional models …-Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) in explaining trimmed mean inflation, both in terms of in-sample fit and significance of coefficients … including a direct measure of inflation expectations, but we still find that the unemployment rate or growth in marginal costs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008505436