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an additional $5 billion (or 12 per cent) of Australian banknotes on issue by the end of that year. The rise in currency … disproportionate rise in demand for high-denomination banknotes at this time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815227
Historical experience shows that disruptions in credit markets can have a material impact on activity and inflation. However, it is hard to measure such effects owing to the difficulty in isolating credit supply shocks. This paper employs survey data to identify the impact of credit supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990950
In the wake of the global financial crisis a considerable amount of research has focused on integrating financial factors into macroeconomic models. Two common approaches for doing so include the financial accelerator and collateralised lending, examples of which are Gilchrist, Ortiz and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009393260
Credit is an important macroeconomic variable that helps to drive economic activity and is also dependent on economic activity. This paper estimates a small structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model for Australia to examine the intertwined relationships of credit with other key macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423512
This paper examines whether financial aggregates provide information useful for predicting real output growth and inflation, extending the inquiry conducted in Tallman and Chandra (1996). First, we investigate whether perfect knowledge of the future values of financial aggregates helps improve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426711
This paper examines the information provided by financial aggregates as predictors of real output and inflation. We employ vector autoregression (VAR) techniques to summarise the information in the data, providing evidence on the incremental forecasting value of financial aggregates in a range...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426724
A sharp decline in inventory investment was an important contributor to the economic slowdown in Australia in 2008/09. I identify the extent to which this was due to a tightening in short-term credit constraints. In an experimental design setting, I identify the causal effect of short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010720407
Over the past decade or so, aggregate data suggest a trend increase in housing equity withdrawal in Australia, potentially stimulating household spending. However, there has been little disaggregated information on how equity is being withdrawn and injected, the characteristics of households...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005398630
, there is a renewed interest in the long-running debate about whether or not changes in the stock of money have direct … effects. In particular, do changes in money have additional effects on aggregate demand outside of those induced by changes in … structural model with no direct effects of money to show that the finding of positive and statistically significant coefficients …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509098
Tiering occurs when an institution does not participate directly in the central payment system but instead settles its payments through an agent. A high level of tiering can be a significant issue for payment system regulators because of the increased credit and concentration risk. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010611073