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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009561465
I develop a structural general equilibrium model and estimate it for New Zealand using Bayesian techniques. The estimated model considers a monetary policy regime where the central bank targets overall inflation but is also concerned about output, exchange rate movements, and interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005109772
and permanent technology shocks, help to explain why the one shock present value model of the current account fails to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005109789
We estimate underlying macroeconomic policy objectives of three of the earliest explicit inflation targeters - Australia, Canada and New Zealand - within the context of a small open economy DSGE model. We assume central banks set policy optimally, such that we can reverse engineer policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005546688
New Zealand data show that the inflation-output relationship is asymmetric. This asymmetry implies that positive demand shocks tend to increase inflation by more than negative demand shocks of similar magnitudes reduce it. An important implication of this asymmetry is that a monetary authority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005546692
This paper quantifies the costs of mitigating exchange rate volatility within the context of a flexible inflation targeting central bank. Within a standard linearquadratic formulation of inflation targeting, we append a term that penalises deviations in the exchange rate to the central bank’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005546694
misspecification in only exchange rate determination, a more cautious policy is recommended for all but an exchange rate shock. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005546695
of a transitory demand shock. We conclude that a richer model is needed to understand current account dynamics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005395302
We evaluate the performance of an open economy DSGE-VAR model for New Zealand along both forecasting and policy dimensions. We show that forecasts from a DSGE-VAR and a 'vanilla' DSGE model are competitive with, and in some dimensions superior to, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's official...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005395312
We describe a simple extension of the Monacelli (2005) small open economy model that incorporates a non-tradable good, habit persistence and price indexation. The empirical fit of eight different specifications of this model is then tested in a Bayesian framework using data for three small open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005395322