Castle, Jennifer L.; Doornik, Jurgen A.; Hendry, David F.; … - Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (RCEA) - 2012
Many economic models (such as the new-Keynesian Phillips curve, NKPC) include expected future values, often estimated after replacing the expected value by the actual future outcome, using Instrumental Variables or Generalized Method of Moments. Although crises, breaks and regime shifts are...