In this paper we perform an in—depth investigation of relative merits of two adaptive learning algorithms with constant gain, Recursive Least Squares (RLS) and Stochastic Gradient (SG), using the Phelps model of monetary policy as a testing ground. The behavior of the two learning...

We provide sufficient conditions and necessary conditions for stability of an economy under structural mixed recursive least squares/stochastic gradient heterogeneous learning of agents with possibly different degrees of inertia. We have found a unifying condition which is sufficient for...

While under recursive least squares learning the dynamics of the economy converges to rational expectations equilibria (REE) which are E–stable, some recent examples propose that E–stability is not a sufficient condition for learnability. In this paper, we provide some further...

This paper proposes the evaluation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) under a new learning mechanism where VAR learning dynamics is combined with the idea of testing the validity of the forward-looking model of inflation dynamics. The key assumption is that agents’ perceived law of...

We use a continuous-time approximation approach to analyze dynamics of a model where government adaptively learns the Phillips curve while running monetary policy (Phellps problem). This approach is based on approximating the discrete-time dynamics with learning by a limiting continuous-time...

This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

We provide an analytical approach that facilitates understanding the bifurcation mechanism of a wide class of economic models involving spatial agglomeration of economic activities. The proposed method overcomes the limitations of the Turing (1952) approach that has been used to analyze the...

Macro Models are a series of free Apps available in App Store, and they work with Ipads. Each App simulates a specific macroeconomic model and presents both the static and the dynamic results. The first five Apps developed and published are: the Income-Expenditure model in three versions (I, II...

This article proposes that Okun’s Law is an empirical relationship between employment and production which, in the United States, correlates to the relationship between the radius of a circle and one-half of its circumference i.e. numerically, the ratio 1 : .. This requires two new sets of...