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The paper examines international linkages between daily time series of US and Australian 3 month Treasury Bills and 10 year Government Bonds from 1987-95, paying particular attention to the effects of macroeconomic announcements in both countries. The 2 country's interest rate data are modelled...
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This paper, extending previous work on the imperfections of international capital markets, considers both short-and-long run interest rates on the securities issued by governments which are unlikely to default on payments of interest or principal and during a period when they had few, if any,...
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This paper examines 1) an exploration of international interest rates, 2) investment and saving in Australia, 3) Unemployment in Market Economies.
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This paper presents a theoretical link between the yield curve and future economic growth in a simple stochastic growth model. The derived relationship implies that, in a simple competitive production economy, the slope of the yield curve predicts future output growth. This predictive content of...
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