Detecting contagion during financial crises requires demarcation of crisis periods. This paper presents a method for endogeneous dating of both the start and finish of crises, coupled with the statistical detection of contagion effects. We couple smooth transition functions with structural GARCH...

This paper provides empirical evidence on the effects of Chinese resource demand on the resource rich natural resource supplier using the example of Australia. A structural VAR model is used to examine the effects of Chinese resource demand, commodity prices and foreign output on the...

This paper investigates the extent of concordance in financial crises by both asset market and country in six Asian countries over the period 1970-2002. To that purpose we adapt a concordance index to deal with the typically low incidence of financial crises in both bivariate and multivariate...

The aim of this paper is to model the trading intensity of the US Treasury bond market which has a unique expandable limit order book which distinguishes its structure from other asset markets. An analysis of tick data from the eSpeed database suggests that the US bond market displays a greater...

This paper examines the influences of the two largest developed economies, namely the US and the Euro area, on Australia as an exemplar of a small open economy. To do so, we specify and estimate a structural VAR with bilateral linkages between the two large economies, and allow shocks...

This paper models the time between trades of the after-hours electronically traded equity futures market, a market which is previously unstudied in this regard. Using a relatively long 2 year data set, trades in the NASDAQ and S&P500 equity futures are shown to require different forms of...

We examine whether contagion tests are affected by controls for volatility clustering and the collection of synchronized data sets. Without controlling for volatility clustering synchronization does not apparently matter. Once volatility clustering is accounted for synchronized data dramatically...

We propose a simple network–based methodology for ranking systemically important financial institutions. We view the risks of firms –including both the financial sector and the real economy– as a network with nodes representing the volatility shocks. The metric for the connections of the...

This paper places the data revision model of Jacobs and van Norden (2011) within a class of trend-cycle decompositions relating directly to the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition. In both these approaches identifying restrictions on the covariance matrix under simple and realistic conditions may...

The use of intradaily data to produce daily variance measures has resulted in increased forecast accuracy and better hedging for many markets. However, this paper shows that improved hedging ratios can depend on the behavior of price disruptions in the assets. When spot and future prices for the...