Showing 1 - 10 of 10
We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be … used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency even when the data of interest are … Ito semimartingales and discuss how it can be used for inference on relative volatility/intermittency. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851213
empirical regularities in credit markets. Our model captures the empirical level and volatility of credit spreads, generates a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851248
framework for the joint modeling of returns and realized measures of volatility. An influential bias in these measures is … analyze empirical results for a selection of existing realized measures of volatility and incorporate them in a Realized GARCH … over time, which stresses the importance of careful modeling and forecasting of volatility. We show that improved model fit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945126
volatility, skewness, kurtosis, and density forecasting. More generally, we discuss how any forecasting object which is a twice … equity returns. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385753
We present new evidence on disaggregated profit and loss (P/L) and Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts obtained from a large international commercial bank. Our dataset includes the actual daily P/L generated by four separate business lines within the bank. All four business lines are involved in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037434
in favor of the component structure for both returns and options, but for the non-affine models the evidence is much less … strong in option valuation. The evidence in favor of the non-normal models is strong when fitting daily returns, but the non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440037
framework can be used to estimate the autocorrelation function of the latent volatility process and a key persistence parameter …. Our analysis is motivated by the recent literature on realized (volatility) measures, such as the realized variance, that … are imperfect estimates of actual volatility. In an empirical analysis using realized measures for the DJIA stocks we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008602579
This article contains a review of multivariate GARCH models. Most common GARCH models are presented and their properties considered. This also includes nonparametric and semiparametric models. Existing specification and misspecification tests are discussed. Finally, there is an empirical example...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114123
In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of power and multipower variations of stochastic processes. Processes of the type considered serve in particular, to analyse data of velocity increments of a fluid in a turbulence regime with spot intermittency sigma. The purpose of the present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991540
Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose exible methods that exploit recent developments in nancial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371457