Showing 1 - 10 of 17
indicates that the overall fit of the model is adequate. However, we find that the amount of aggregate stock market volatility … experiment shows that while a higher elasticity of substitution helps to increase the aggregate stock market volatility and hence … premium and for the volatility of the government bond returns without compromising the ability of the price-dividend ratio to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011158462
Forecasting the evolution of security co-movements is critical for asset pricing and portfolio allocation. Hence, we investigate patterns and trends in correlations over time using weekly returns for developed markets (DMs) and emerging markets (EMs) during the period 1973-2012. We show that it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851264
In a framework of heterogeneous beliefs, I investigate a two-date consumption model with continuous trading over the interval [0; T], in which information on the aggregate consumption at time T is revealed by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Bridge. This information structure allows investors to speculate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851297
methodology in a variety of contexts, including option pricing with stochastic volatility, volatility contracts and the term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787546
Using a unique high-frequency futures dataset, we characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. We find that news produces conditional mean jumps, hence high-frequency stock, bond and exchange rate dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440071
of a large sample of stocks listed on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ. The model is different from the standard CAPM model in the … consumption rather than historical returns. I compare the pricing performance of the model with the standard CAPM based valuation … based on the results of the respective models. The CCAPM model performs substantially better than the CAPM based model when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293656
Few issues are more important for finance practice than the computation of market betas. Existing approaches compute market betas using historical data. While these approaches differ in terms of statistical sophistication and the modeling of the time-variation in the betas, they are all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440055
Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose exible methods that exploit recent developments in nancial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371457
volatility, skewness, kurtosis, and density forecasting. More generally, we discuss how any forecasting object which is a twice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385753
We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be … used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency even when the data of interest are … Ito semimartingales and discuss how it can be used for inference on relative volatility/intermittency. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851213