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This paper introduces a new class of generalized flat-top realized kernels for estimation of quadratic variation in the presence of market microstructure noise that is allowed to exhibit a non-trivial dependence structure and to be correlated with the efficient price process. The estimators in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293968
This paper extends the class of generalized at-top realized kernels, introduced in Varneskov (2011), to the multivariate case, where quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed asset prices is estimated in the presence of market microstructure noise that is allowed to exhibit serial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320847
asymptotic theory of those realised variation measures and present a new estimator for the asymptotic ‘variance’ of the centered … theory would suggest in the presence of a highly active jump process. In an empirical study on high frequency data from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677230
(unobserved) instantaneous volatility process using the estimator of Kristensen (2010, Econometric Theory 26). In the second step …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677955
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008694897
We investigate the long-run stock-bond correlation using a novel model that combines the dynamic conditional correlation model with the mixed-data sampling approach. The long-run correlation is affected by both macro-finance variables (historical and forecasts) and the lagged realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851206
The VPIN, or Volume-synchronized Probability of INformed trading, metric is introduced by Easley, Lopez de Prado and O'Hara (ELO) as a real-time indicator of order flow toxicity. They find the measure useful in predicting return volatility and conclude it may help signal impending market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851243
We propose a model for the term structure of interest rates that is a generalization of the discrete-time, Gaussian, affine yield-curve model. Compared to standard affine models, our model allows for general linear dynamics in the vector of state variables. In an application to real yields of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851271
We develop a model that can match two stylized facts of the term-structure. The first stylized fact is the predictability of excess returns on long-term bonds. Modeling this requires sufficient volatility and persistence in the price of risk. The second stylized fact is that long-term yields are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851286
I investigate the time variation in the integration of EU government bond markets. The integration is measured by the explanatory power of European factor portfolios for the individual bond markets for each year. The integration of the government bond markets is stronger for EMU than non-EMU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851292