Showing 1 - 10 of 40
We develop an empirically highly accurate discrete-time daily stochastic volatility model that explicitly distinguishes …-dependencies among the shocks to returns and the two different volatility components. The model estimates suggest that the leverage … effect, or asymmetry between returns and volatility, works primarily through the continuous volatility component. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005198864
This paper presents a new modelling framework for day–ahead electricity prices based on multivariate Lévy semistationary (MLSS) processes. Day–ahead prices specify the prices for electricity delivered over certain time windows on the next day and are determined in a daily auction. Since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851204
This paper proposes the new concept of stochastic leverage in stochastic volatility models. Stochastic leverage refers … stochastic volatility process. We provide a systematic treatment of stochastic leverage and propose to model the stochastic … tractable and allow for a direct economic interpretation. In particular, we propose two new stochastic volatility models which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972835
This paper introduces a new modelling framework for energy spot prices based on Lévy semistationary processes. Lévy semistationary processes are special cases of the general class of ambit processes. We provide a detailed analysis of the probabilistic properties of such models and we show how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565810
Using positive semidefinite supOU (superposition of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type) processes to describe the volatility, we … introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model for financial data which is capable of modelling long range dependence … effects. The finiteness of moments and the second order structure of the volatility, the log returns, as well as their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008566316
This paper proposes a new modelling framework for electricity forward markets, which is based on ambit fields. The new model can capture many of the stylised facts observed in energy markets. One of the main differences to the traditional models lies in the fact that we do not model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008462018
volatility. We decompose the total daily return variability into the continuous sample path variance, the variation arising from … volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114116
A rapidly growing literature has documented important improvements in financial return volatility measurement and … return volatility. In an application to the DM/$ exchange rate, the S&P500 market index, and the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond … non-jump movements in a simple but sophisticated volatility forecasting model, we find that almost all of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114119
-varying diffusive volatility, jumps, and leverage effects in order to satisfactorily describe the daily stock price dynamics. At a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114122
Delineation of the relevant market forms a pivotal part of most antitrust cases. The standard approach is sequential. First the product market is delineated, then the geographical market is defined. Demand and supply substitution in both the product dimension and the geographical dimension will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851131