We present and evaluate a numerical optimization method (together with an algorithm for choosing the starting values) pertinent to the constrained optimization problem arising in the estimation of the GARCH models with inequality constraints, in particular the Simplified Component GARCH Model...

This paper studies vector autoregressive models with parsimoniously time-varying parameters. The parameters are assumed to follow parsimonious random walks, where parsimony stems from the assumption that increments to the parameters have a non-zero probability of being exactly equal to zero.We...

Policy mix problems may arise in a monetary union with centralized monetary policy and decentralized fiscal policy. A consequence of this may be an inappropriate stabilization of shocks. This paper addresses how policy coordination problems are affected by the objectives of the monetary...

This paper extends two optimization routines to deal with objective functions for DSGE models. The optimization routines are i) a version of Simulated Annealing developed by Corana, Marchesi & Ridella (1987), and ii) the evolutionary algorithm CMA-ES developed by Hansen, Müller & Koumoutsakos...

By considering firms operating in a perfectly- or monopolisticallycompetitive industry with free entry, we show that well-established results on the celebrated LeChatelier principle (LCP) do not extend into an endogenous competitive environment. For instance, labour demand may be more elastic in...

A dynamic model of agricultural household behaviour in less developed countries in the presence of credit constraints and income uncertainty is developed. The production side of the model takes into account the irreversible and indivisible nature of non-stationary agricultural investment...

Cointegration imposes restrictions on the frequency domain behavior of a time series at the zero-frequency. We derive these restrictions for a multivariate fractionally cointegrated system. In particular, we consider a p-vector time series integrated of order d with r cointegrating relations,...

In static single equation cointegration regression models the OLS estimator will have a non-standard distribution unless regressors are strictly exogenous. In the literature a number of estimators have been suggested to deal with this problem, especially by the use of semi-nonparametric...

The present paper tests for the existence of multicointegration between real per capita private consumption expenditure and real per capita disposable personal income in the USA. In doing so, we exploit the fact that the flows of disposable income and consumption expenditure on the one hand, and...

Many key macro-economic and financial variables are characterised by permanent changes in unconditional volatility. In this paper we analyse vector autoregressions with non-stationary (unconditional) volatility of a very general form, which includes single and multiple volatility breaks as...