Showing 61 - 70 of 89
This paper discusses identification based on difference-in-differences (DiD) approaches with multiple treatments. It shows that an appropriate adaptation of the common trend assumption underlying the DiD strategy for the comparison of two treatments restricts the possibility of effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272956
We estimate a state-dependent multifactor model with two endogenous states. Its pricing accuracy is slightly superior to that of the Fama and French (1993, 1996) model. We have evidence for dramatically increased factor loadings for distress factors in one state. These results have implications...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005453918
We construct an empirical heterogeneous agent model which optimally combines forecasts from fundamentalist and chartists agents and evaluate its out-of-sample forecast performance using daily date covering the period from January 1999 to June 2014 for six of the most widely traded currencies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093337
We use data from the London Metal Exchange (LME) to forecast monthly copper returns using the recently proposed dynamic model averaging and selection (DMA/DMS) framework, which incorporates time varying parameters as well as model averaging and selection into one unifying framework. Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905983
Easley / Kiefer / O'Hara / Paperman (1996) (EKOP) have proposed an empirical methodology that allows to estimate the probability of informed trading and that has subsequently been used to address a wide range of issues in market microstructure. The data needed for estimation is the number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005200671
We suggest a joint analysis of ex-post intra-day variability in an option and its associated underlying asset market as a novel means of validating an option pricing model. For this purpose, we introduce the notion of option realized variance, by which we mean the cumulative variance realized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010630436
We empirically investigate the predictive power of the various components affecting correlations that have been recently introduced in the literature. We focus on models allowing for a flexible specification of the short-run component of correlations as well as the long-run component. Moreover,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003405
Rapach et al. (2013) have recently shown that U.S. equity market returns carry valuable information to improve return forecasts in a large cross-section of international equity markets. In this study, we extend the work of Rapach et al. (2013) and examine if U.S. based equity market information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213801
We propose a tree-structured heterogeneous autoregressive (tree-HAR) process as a simple and parsimonious model for the estimation and prediction of tick-by-tick realized correlations. The model can account for different time and other relevant predictors' dependent regime shifts in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005453959
We propose a new multivariate DCC-GARCH model that extends existing approaches by admitting multivariate thresholds in conditional volatilities and conditional correlations. Model estimation is numerically feasible in large dimensions and positive semi-definiteness of conditional covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005453965