Forni, Mario; Hallin, Marc; Lippi, Marco; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
This Paper proposes a new forecasting method that exploits information from a large panel of time series. The method is … the information on the dynamic covariance structure of the whole panel. We first use our previous method to obtain an … panel of 447 monthly time series show very encouraging results. -- Dynamic factor models ; principal components ; time …