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We empirically test the dependence of the Russian stock market on the world stock market and world oil prices in the period 1997:10–2012:02. We also consider three Eastern European stock markets (Poland, the Czech Republic, and Hungary), as well as two markets outside Europe (Turkey and South...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818553
The Central European banking industry is dominated by foreign-owned banks. During the recent crisis, for the first time since the transition, foreign parent companies were frequently in a worse financial condition than their subsidiaries. This situation created a unique opportunity to study new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818577
In the spirit of Borio et al. (2014) we present a model that incorporates information contained in diverse variables when estimating sustainable output growth. For this purpose, we specify a state-space model representing a multivariate HP-filter that links cyclical fluctuation of GDP with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818580
We apply recently developed early warning indicators systems to a cross-section of emerging markets. We find that, with little or no modification, models designed to predict asset price booms/busts in advanced countries may be useful for emerging markets. The concept of monitoring a set of asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575947
We study a pricing model for global and local sources of risk in six Eastern European emerging stock markets. Utilizing GMM estimation and an unconditional asset-pricing framework with and without time-varying betas, we perform estimations based on monthly data from 1996 to 2007 for Poland,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648562
The paper estimates McCallum and Taylor monetary policy reaction functions, and hybrids mixing instruments and targets from the two frameworks, for 20 emerging market economies. McCallum-Taylor specifications with an interest rate instrument and a nominal income gap target perform better than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563374
The study examines the reasons for financial crises in 31 emerging market countries during 1980-2001. It estimates a probit model using 23 macroeconomic and financial sector variables. Traditional variables such as unemployment and inflation, as well as several indicators of indebtedness such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005419620
in China is not explained simply by factor input accumulation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969818
China’s local government debt (LGD) has recently become the focus of economic policy debates. However, information … investigation of the impact of China’s LGD on economic growth. It is probably the first of its kind to focus on China and thus … assessment of LGD in China’s regional economies, using recently released auditing statistics and other available secondary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011098218
the experience of China, an economy undergoing dramatic institutional change in the last 20 years with rich variation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011267943