This paper presents a fully rational general equilibrium model that produces a time-varying exchange rate risk premium and solves the uncovered interest rate parity (U.I.P) puzzle. In this two-country model, agents are characterized by slow-moving external habit preferences similar to Campbell &...

Equity market crashes or booms are extreme realizations of the underlying return distribution. This paper questions whether booms are more or less likely than crashes and whether emerging markets crash more frequently than developed equity markets. We apply Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to...

I illustrate the importance of choosing the correct space in empirical applications of spatial econometric models. I consider different spatial weighting matrices in an SAR(1) model -- contiguity matrix, distance based matrix and their variants adjusted for size of each observation. I show...

Recent theoretical work by Cooley and Quadrini (2001) highlight the role of financial frictions in models of firm dynamics. This paper investigates empirically the implications of the Cooley and Quadrini (2001) model for the determinants of firm size dynamics with special emphasis on financial...

The policies related to regional economic activity developed by European Union (EU) and the role played by regions as economic subject have determined a bigger set of disaggregated statistics at macroeconomic level. The methodologies used nowadays by the Italian national institute of statistics...

Data in which each observation is a curve occur in many applied problems. This paper explores prediction in time series in which the data is generated by a curve-valued autoregression process. It develops a novel technique, the predictive factor decomposition, for estimation of the...

We emphasize using our solutions to the problems of omitted variables, measurement errors, and unknown functional forms to improve model specification, and to estimate the mean square error of an empirical best linear unbiased predictor of an individual drawing of the dependent variable of an...

Principal components of the residuals are proposed for analysing between-group dependence when estimating PPP equations in large-T, large-N panels. If this dependence arises because omitted variables are correlated with included variables, the appropriate response to between-group dependences...