Showing 1 - 10 of 123
For univariate time series we suggest a new variant of efficient score tests against fractional alternatives. This test has three important merits. First, by means of simulations we observe that it is superior in terms of size and power in some situations of practical interest. Second, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132878
We present a multivariate generalization of the simple markov-switching model. We allow for the introduction of several latent processes that have a simple parametric distribution. The matrix-variate bernoulli distribution yields a flexible yet parsimonious pattern of dependence between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342985
This paper proposes a new empirical representation of US inflation expectations in a Stace-Space Markov-Switching framework in order to identify the expectations regimes which are associated with short and long term Phillips curves. We explicitly identify the dynamic of inflation expectation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345273
Unrestricted reduced form vector autoregressive (VAR) models have become a dominant research strategy in empirical … dimensionality. In this paper we propose general-to-specific reductions of VAR models and consider computer-automated model selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345588
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345725
In this paper we use a Dynamic Factor model to retrieve vulnerability indicators able to predict financial turmoil. A stochastic simulation experiment is then used to produce the corresponding probability forecasts regarding the currency crisis events a®ecting a number of East Asian countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537458
Correction Models. The algorithm automates testing the cointegration rank of the system and performs simplifications based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537612
family-specific health endowments. All of the studies have assumed, however, that fertility itself is unrelated to either … fertility choice that explicitly incorporates the smoking decision, allowing for its addictive nature, and the birth weight … cohort. In addition to obtaining estimates of the birth weight production function that account for fertility choice, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132884
One of the important determinants of fertility behavior is the value (cost and benefits) of children as perceived by … birth order using a dynamic programming model. The underlying hypothesis is that the observed fertility outcome of parents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345621
these types of stochastic dynamic programming models to account for the fact that individuals use some of their available … characterize job search as an important issue to consider for older individuals. Also, we explore through binary choice models, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132886