Computing power now allows empirical researchers to use intensive computing estimation techniques with nonlinear panel-data models. Maximum Likelihood estimation is often cumbersome, if not analytically intractable, when dealing with such models. Even the simple calculation of the likelihood...

A dynamic Tobit model with Time-varying parameters is proposed for the daily reaction function of the Open Market Desk of the US Federal Reserve. Such a model offers a more realistic depiction of the Desk's behavior than those of past contributions in the literature as it allows for both...

Advances in computing power allow the empirical researcher to use intensive computional techniques to solve and estimate nonlinear panel-data models, specifically those arising from nonlinear panel data such as Probit and Tobit models. In these cases, maximum-likelihood estimation can be...

This paper investigates the finite-sample behaviour of sovereign credit migration estimators and analyzes the properties of the rating process. Through bootstrap simulations, we compare a discrete multinomial estimator and two continuous hazard rate methods which differ in that one neglects...

In standard static Mean-Variance approach portfolio is presented by one allocation vector optimized in terms of expected returns & variance-covariance (VcV) matrix. Such one-dimensional approach is not suitable for Fixed Income: i) portfolio cannot be described by allocation vector only, and ii)...

In a traditional mean-variance approach a portfolio is represented by the allocation vector optimized in terms of expected returns and variances. Basic assumption is that the allocation vector may only be the driver of a portfolio risk-reward trade-off, while all constituent assets are fully...

The paper proposes a method that solves the non-monotonic power problem of a family of structural changes in mean tests based on an orthonormal series filtering of the error process before estimating variance of the test statistics. This method yields a consistent estimator for the variance...

This paper analyses the asymptotic and finite sample implications of different types of nonstationary behavior among the dependent and explanatory variables in a linear spurious regression model. We study cases when the nonstationarity in the dependent and explanatory variables is deterministic...

Persistent regressors pose a common problem in predictive regressions. Tests of the forward rate unbiased hypothesis (FRUH) constitute a prime example. Standard regression tests that strongly reject FRUH have been questioned on the grounds of potential long-memory in the forward premium....