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about the true structure of the economy. Private agents rely on an adaptive learning technology to form expectations and … learning and misperceptions of natural rates call for more aggressive responses to inflation that would be optimal under … potential misspecification of private sector learning and the magnitude of variation in natural rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132680
We examine optimal policy in an open-economy model with uncertainty and learning, where monetary policy actions affect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342876
I introduce a method to transform a T-map when agents form expectations using a misspecified learning mechanism … "Restricted Perceptions Equilibria" (RPE) of such a model are learnable under adaptive learning. I present the New Keynesian … inertia where determinacy only changes with inertia if the REE and RPE are not stable under learning. Under restricted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345066
policymakers, learning from the experience of the 1970s, eschewed activist policies in favor of policies that concentrated on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345289
This paper examines the welfare implications of managing Q with inflation targeting by monetary authorities who have to "learn" the laws of motion for both inflation and the rate of growth of Q. Our results show that the Central Bank can achieve great success in reducing the volatility of GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345305
of the structure of the economy is imperfect and an adaptive learning technology is available to the policymaker and … learning to form expectations. We show that policies that are efficient under rational expectations are no longer efficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005170604
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706579
private agents' learning process, determines the speed at which the economy converges to the rational expectation equilibrium … convergence. I assess the relevance of the transition period from the learning to the rational expectations equilibrium when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537631
The literature on optimal monetary policy typically makes three major assumptions: 1) policymakers’ preferences are quadratic, 2) the economy is linear, and 3) stochastic shocks and policymakers’ prior beliefs about unobserved variables are normally distributed. This paper relaxes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132649
The central tenet of inflation targeting is the anchoring of inflation expectations. In this paper, we reexamine the role of key elements of the inflation targeting framework towards this end, in the context of an economy where economic agents have an imperfect understanding of the macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342919