We propose an agent-based model to investigate the effects of policies against poverty – income support, workfare policies and active labor market programs within different economic and institutional setting

Some researchers and many practitioners have move from the classic mean-variance (Markowitz, 1959) portfolio theory to a new portfolio optimization framework based on downside-risk measures that are more appropriate to the investor’s preferences. Moreover, several studies (Friedman and...

This paper considers the behavior of the exchange rate in a very simple artificial currency market with two currencies and artificial agents who evolve their forecast rules over time via a genetic algorithm. I consider two simple forecast rules, one linear and the other non-linear. Under the...

In impulse response analysis the construction of intervals for the response at a particular time is a familiar topic. This paper considers the construction of confidence bands for the path of reponses. It investigates the feasibility of procedures based on heuristic optimisation methods for...

Price forecasting and trading strategies modelling are examined with major international stock indexes under different time horizons. Results demonstrate that an accurate prediction is equally important as a stable saving rate for long-term survivability. The best economic performances are...

This paper is a step towards the econometric foundation of computational intelligence in finance. Financial time series modeling and forecasting are addressed with an artificial neural network, examining issues of its topology dependency. Structural dependency of results is viewed not as a...

This paper examines the implications of a 'strong' version of bounded rationality popular within computational and evolutionary game theory in which agents are represented by finite automata. It is argued that this view has unrealistic features in that agents of this kind are unable to...

This paper focuses on the time series’ decomposition and economic representation of its constituent parts. Wavelet transforms are used for adaptive analysis of local behaviour of heterogeneous agents. Unlike fully revealing equilibrium of homogeneous beliefs, in the environment with...

The purpose of this paper is to analyze how heterogeneous behaviors of agents influence the exchange rates dynamic in the short and long terms. We examine how agents use the information and which kind of information, in order to take theirs decisions to form an expectation of the exchange rate....