It is widely accepted that international trade is an important force transmitting business cycles from one country to another. Metaphors such as "when the U.S. sneezes, Europe catches a cold" are often invoked to illustrate the importance of these linkages. Recent empirical research has...

We study the effects of optimized monetary policy in a semi-structural, estimated small open economy in situations where the policymaker has either complete or less than complete confidence in the model being free from misspecification errors. We use the robust control techniques developed by...

The goal of the paper is to analyze how financial and economic crises affect the relation between capital flows and their determinants. We develop a model of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) and foreign direct investment (FDI), and apply it to Turkey using an endogenous break analysis and...

This paper examines the welfare implications of managing asset-price with consumer-price inflation targeting by monetary authorities who have to learn the laws of motion for both inflation rates. Our results show that the Central Bank can reduce the volatility of consumption and asset price...

In this paper, we develop a model which explains why events in one market may trigger similar events in other markets, even though at first sight the markets appear to be only weakly related. We allow for multiple equilibria and learning dynamics in each market, and show that a jump between...

In this paper, I estimate an open economy DSGE model for the Taiwanese economy. The model features multiple sources of real and nominal rigidities, including price and wage stickiness, investment and bond adjustment costs, as well as incomplete pass-through of exchange rates. Contrary to the...

This paper contrasts the effects of tied and untied foreign aid programs on the welfare and macroeconomic performance of a small open economy. We show that the acceptance of tied aid inevitably obligates the recipient economy to undertake certain internal structural adjustments, and the...

Several authors have presented reduced-form evidence suggesting that the degree of exchange-rate pass-through to the consumer price index has declined in Canada since the 1970s and is currently close to zero. Authors such as Taylor (2000) suggest that this is due to a change in the conduct of...