In this paper, we investigate the behavior of the exchange rate within the framework of an asset pricing model. We assume boundedly rational agents who use simple rules to forecast the future exchange rate. They test these rules continuously using two learning mechanisms. The first one, the...

An important feature of transition economies such as the Central and Eastern European countries is the so-called phenomenon of dollarization. It is of particular interest since extensive currency substitution not only makes domestic monetary and fiscal policies less effective, it also makes...

For policymakers, thinking about best practice monetary policy means thinking about uncertainty. Open economy monetary policymakers face an additional source of uncertainty – exchange rate dynamics. This paper identifies policy rules robust to the open economy inflation targeters face in...

I use the automated search algorithm to address practical issues that arise in estimating income and price elasticities for U.S. trade in services: specification of dynamics, specification of the search strategy, simultaneity biases, and aggregation biases. Specifically, starting from a general,...

Testable implications of the basic intertemporal model of current account determination are almost always rejected by the data. We confirm these rejections for a sample of post-war Canadian data, then account for them by calibrating and simulating a small open economy, real business cycle model....

We examine optimal policy in an open-economy model with uncertainty and learning, where monetary policy actions affect the economy through the real exchange rate channel. Our results show that the degree of caution or activism in optimal policy depends on whether central banks are in coordinated...

Central puzzles in international macroeconomics are why fluctuations of the real exchange rate are so volatile with respect to other macroeconomic variables, and the contradiction of efficient risk-sharing. Several theoretical contributions have evaluated alternative forms of pricing under...

This paper studies the choice of the monetary regime in a small open economy with special focus on the EMU accession countries. In the framework of a two - country DSGE model we conduct policy experiments consisting in analysing the effects of different monetary regimes (roughly representing the...

Previous efforts to compare the costs and benefits of fixed versus flexible exchange rate regimes have ignored the fact that it takes significant resources and time to develop export markets, and they have not included an analysis of the firm-level decision to enter or exit export markets. This...