Principal components of the residuals are proposed for analysing between-group dependence when estimating PPP equations in large-T, large-N panels. If this dependence arises because omitted variables are correlated with included variables, the appropriate response to between-group dependences...

Testable implications of the basic intertemporal model of current account determination are almost always rejected by the data. We confirm these rejections for a sample of post-war Canadian data, then account for them by calibrating and simulating a small open economy, real business cycle model....

We present a quantitative analysis of the effects of population aging and pension reform on international capital markets. First, demographic change alters the time path of aggregate savings within each country. Second, this process may be amplified when a pension reform shifts old-age provision...

The 1990‰fs has been punctuated by a series of severe financial and currency crises: the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) attacks of 1992; the Mexican peso collapse of 1994; the East Asian crisis of 1997; the Russian collapse of 1998; and the Brazilian devaluation of 1999. One striking characteristic of these...

Papers on international business cycles have documented spurious welfare reversals: incomplete markets produce a higher level of welfare than the complete market. This paper first demonstrates how conventional linearization, as used in King, Plosser, and Rebelo (1988), can generate approximation...