Recent evidence on bond markets suggests that there are risk factors underlying changes in interest rate derivatives prices that are independent of those underlying shifts in the yield curve. The presence of unspanned factors seems puzzling because derivatives are based on the underlying...

This paper analyzes some asymptotic results for a new estimator of integrated volatility in a continuous-time diffusion process of high frequency data (used in asset pricing finance). The estimator, which is computationally efficient, is based on the quadratic variation of the second order...

In recent years the relationship between ÎmoneyÌ and the macroeconomy has assumed prominence in the academic literature and in Central Banks circles. Although some Central Bankers have stated that they have formally abandoned the notion of using monetary aggregates as indicators of the impact...

In this paper we estimate a Bayesian SDGE model using the computer program "Dynare" by Michel Juillard. We present an estimated open economy version of a model for the Euro area. This is an extension of the SDGE model by Smets and Wouters (2003). Based on input/output tables we present a number...

This paper aims to evaluate the importance of frictions in credit markets for business cycles in the U.S. and the Euro area. For this purpose, I modify the DSGE financial accelerator model developed by Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (1999) and estimate it using Bayesian methods. The model is...

In his monograph The Conquest of American Inflation, Sargent (1999) points out the perils of econometric policy evaluation of the Theil-Tinbergen tradition wherein one estimates a reduced form econometric model of the economy and subjects it to control. If the model is misspecified, as is...