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This paper presents a rigurous framework for evaluating alternative forecasting methods for Chilean industrial production and sales. While nonlinear features appear to be important for forecasting the very short term, simple univariate linear models perform about as well for almost every...
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unavoidable problem in such broad-spectrum researches, using a rigorous Bootstrap Reality Check procedure. While market …
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shape estimates are inefficient unless the threshold is accurately determined. We will apply bootstrap methodology to select …
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Fluctuation Analysis). Some of these tests exhibit size distortions in small-samples. It is well known that the bootstrap … long memory such as ARFIMA, p-values are calculated using the post-blackening, moving block bootstrap. The Monte Carlo … studies suggest that the bootstrap critical values perform better. The results are applied to financial return time series. …
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analyzed for the case when the break dates are known and for the case when they are endogenously determined. A bootstrap test …
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nonstandard ARCH models. We develope parametric and nonparametric bootstrap tests based both on the LM statistic and a neural … problem using bootstrap methods, making possible a better finite-sample estimate of the distribution of the test statistic. A …
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