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simplified model in which the decisions of the ECB are influenced only by the inflation level but we are working on a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706226
the Monetary Policy Committee. We consider this decision making process in the context of a model in which inflation … inflation provide the best description of discrete changes in interest rates. We find a role for asset prices through the equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345075
introduced into NNS models to try and reconcile the movements in interest rates, consumption and inflation. The key findings here …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345080
In this paper, we show how to derive the spectra and cross-spectra of economic times series from an underlying econometric or VAR model. This allows us to conduct a proper frequency analysis of economic and financial variables on a reduced sample of data, without it being ruled out by large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706743
summarised as follows. (1) Historically, inflation persistence appears to have been the exception, rather than the rule, with … inflation estimated to have been highly persistent only during the period between the floating of the pound, in June 1972, and … the introduction of inflation targeting, in October 1992. Under inflation targeting, it exhibits some slight negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343033
. Under discretionary monetary policy the size of the inflation bias depends on the fiscal policy regime. Using the timeless … alternative fiscal policy rules, and inflation and output persistence reflects the economic data. With the deficit rules, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345042
In the late 1960s and into the 1970s, the United States experienced a burst of inflation the origins of which seemed … have arrived at the erroneous conclusion that its output-inflation trade-off was better than is truly the case. This … equilibria and restore stability of inflation expectations. An implication of this is that the observed higher volatility of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345293
rules. Accordingly, we augment a standard inflation targeting model in which a forward-looking version of the Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706735
Data in which each observation is a curve occur in many applied problems. This paper explores prediction in time series in which the data is generated by a curve-valued autoregression process. It develops a novel technique, the predictive factor decomposition, for estimation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343036
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706588