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Pioneering work of modelling financial anxieties was given by Kimura et al (1999) as psychological change of people due to financial shocks. Since they regressed financial position (easy or tight) by nonstationary interest rate, their results exhibit high peaks not only in financial crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706203
confidence in the model specification, a robust policymaker mainly fears that the exchange rate and domestic inflation equations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537402
rules. Accordingly, we augment a standard inflation targeting model in which a forward-looking version of the Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706735
An exchange rate model with heterogeneous expectations is developed in which agents are subject to mutual mimetic contagion in their portfolio decisions. Two alternative sources of heterogeneity are tested in order to explain the short-term dynamics of the euro/dollar since January 1999....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537763
We study the implications of uncertainty for inflation targeting. We apply multiplicative uncertainty to a standard … new algorithm that we put forward, in which the inflation target is state contingent. The Central Bank sets therefore (as … an auxiliary step), a variable inflation target that depends on both the degree of uncertainty as well as the shocks that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342902
In this paper we establish a link between the volatility of oil price shocks and a positive expected value of inflation … in equilibrium (inflation premium). In doing so, we implement the perturbation method to solve up to second order a … relaxes certainty equivalence providing a link between the volatility of shocks and inflation premium. First, we obtain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706212
This paper estimates simple regime-switching rules for monetary policy and tax policy over the post-war period in the United States and imposes the estimated policy process on a standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with nominal rigidities. The estimated joint policy process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706282
unconditional volatilities accompanied by a reduction in the unconditional mean in inflation and interest rates vis-a-vis an … interest rate and inflation along with an increase in the unconditional mean of the money demand as a consequence of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537427
models consistent with macroeconomic data, especially persistence in inflation, and ii) the wealth of newly available … microeconomic data on price changing behaviour from the ECB’s Inflation Persistence Network, alongside earlier firm surveys for … “stickier†sectors. When calibrated to micro data the model predicts inflation persistence comparable to that in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132602
Monetary policymakers face considerable uncertainty and have to use judgment. When the monetary policy committee (MPC) has to reach a decision based on different judgments among its members, various judgment aggregation problems may occur. Here, we consider an aggregation problem called the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132634