We use a simple chartist-fundamentalist model developed by Day and Huang to explore recent chaos control algorithms as potential candidates for central bank intervention rules. We find that methods such as delayed feedback control, OGY and constant feedback have, in principle, the potential to...

Past empirical research on monetary policy in open economies has found the “delayed overshootingâ€, the “forward discount†and the “exchange rate†puzzles. We revisit the effects of monetary policy on exchange rates by applying Uhlig's (2005) identification procedure...

Foreign exchange markets regularly display severe bubbles. This paper explores whether or not so-called target zone interventions are an effective tool for central banks to stabilize the exchange rate. We define such intervention operations as buying/selling an undervalued/overvalued currency...

Central banks frequently intervene in foreign exchange markets to reduce volatility or to correct misalignments. Such operations may be successful if they drive away destabilizing speculators. However, the speculators do not simply vanish but may reappear on other foreign exchange markets. Using...

This paper presents a fully rational general equilibrium model that produces a time-varying exchange rate risk premium and solves the uncovered interest rate parity (U.I.P) puzzle. In this two-country model, agents are characterized by slow-moving external habit preferences similar to Campbell &...

This paper explores the phenomenon of lasting deviations of the exchange rate from its fundamental value in the foreign exchange market. Motivated by empirical observations a chartists-fundamentalists model is developed in which boundedly rational agents repeatedly choose between technical and...

Paper presents various dynamic FX rate simulation models based upon time-dependent market clearing conditions. Discussed nonlinear models follow classical concept of computer agent interactions between chartists and fundamentalists. Within each trading period agents select proper trading rules...