The last couple of decades has witnessed a growing interest in hedge funds. Academics and practitioners are intrigued by the distinct characteristics of these investment vehicles: hedge funds are flexible with respect to the types of securities they hold and the type of positions they take; they...

Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models have begun to dominate the field of macroeconomic theory and policy making. In this paper, I present the first estimation results of investment expenditure for the french economy, applying the bayesian estimation approach of DSGE models. first, I...

I consider the problem of detecting and predicting regime switching behaviour in the context of Indian Stock Market data. First I discuss detection of volatility change points using the LRT and the Binary Segmentation procedure of Vostrikova (1981). The detected volatility changes are correlated...

We propose a comparison of the performance of two alternative approaches for tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategies. Both methods rely on the predictability in series of returns. One approach derives optimal aggressiveness factors, which define the weighting in the portfolio, from...

Applications of GARCH methods are now quite widespread in macroeconomic and financial time series. New formulations have been developed in order to address the statistical regularity observed in these time series such as assymetric nature and strong persistence of variances. This paper develops...

We estimate the approximate nonlinear solution of a small DSGE model using Bayesian methods. Our results, based on euro area data, suggest that this approch delivers sharper inference compared to the estimation of the linearised solution. The nonlinear model can also account for richer economic...

This paper adds oil prices to an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. The price of oil is an important macroeconomic driving factor for most industrialised countries. The euro area is importing most of its oil from abroad; therefore changes in oil prices have effects on domestic income via the...