In standard static Mean-Variance approach portfolio is presented by one allocation vector optimized in terms of expected returns & variance-covariance (VcV) matrix. Such one-dimensional approach is not suitable for Fixed Income: i) portfolio cannot be described by allocation vector only, and ii)...

This paper investigates the process of deriving a single decision solely based on the decisions made by a population of experts. Four different amalgamation processes are studied and compared among one another, collectively referred to as central decision makers. The expert, also referred to as...

In a traditional mean-variance approach a portfolio is represented by the allocation vector optimized in terms of expected returns and variances. Basic assumption is that the allocation vector may only be the driver of a portfolio risk-reward trade-off, while all constituent assets are fully...

This paper reports on the use of multi-agent games to model financial markets. Our research employs multi-agent games to address three questions which are of great practical importance in quantitative finance: how profit opportunities may be identified, large price movements predicted, and...

Generally, in the financial literature, the notion of quadratic VaR is implicitly confused with the Delta-Gamma VaR, because more authors dealt with portfolios that contained derivatives instruments. In this paper, we postpone to estimate both the expected shortfall and Value-at-Risk of a...

One aim of Viability Theory is to regulate evolutions under uncertainty in order not only to reach a target in finite time, but also to fulfill constraints (known as viability) until this time. Within the framework of finance, in the case of replicating portfolios, the target is defined by the...

We extend the vector autoregression (VAR) based expectations hypothesis (EH) test of term structure, considered in Bekaert & Hodrick (2001), B&H thereafter, using recent developments in bootstrap literature. Modifications include the use of wild bootstrap to allow for conditional...

This paper uses an evolutionary approach incorporating the idea of natural selection to examine market behavior in a one-sided buyer auction market. Even with no traders' rationality (such as rational expectations and adaptive learning) and with each trader's behavior preprogrammed with its own...

The Local Scale Model of Shephard (1994) is a state-space model of volatility clustering similar in effect to IGARCH, but with an unobserved volatility that realistically evolves independently of the observed errors, instead of being mechanically determined by them. It has one fewer parameter to...