A combination of observed and unobserved (latent) factors capture term structure dynamics. Information about these dynamics is extracted from observed factors without specifying or estimating any of the parameters associated with latent factors. Estimation is equivalent to fitting the moment...

We model the joint distribution between the euro-sterling and the dollar-sterling exchange rate using option-implied markginal distributions that are connected via a copula function. We then derive univariate distributions for the simpliefied sterling effective exchange rate index (ERI). Our...

The paper contributes to a recent empirical and theoretical literature that suggests that proprietors are an important group of stockholders and that entrepreneurial risk could therefore help explain time-varying risk premia on the aggregate stock market. I use the intertemporal budget...

In this paper we study corporate debt values, capital structure, and the term structure of interest rates in a unified framework. We employ numerical techniques to compute the firm's optimal capital structure and the value of its long-term risky debt and yield spreads when the value of the...

I present a fully-rational symmetric-information model of an IPO, as well as a dynamic imperfectly competitive model of the aftermarket trading that follows. The model helps explain why IPO share allocations favor large institutional investors. It also helps to explain IPO underpricing, and...

One of the pioneering stock market simulations, the Santa Fe Institute Artificial Stock Market (SFI-ASM), showed an influence of learning speed on the aggregate outcome. For slow learning rates, the neoclassical properties of a homogeneous rational expectations equilibrium (hree) could be...

In this paper we take seriously the consequences of the Pricing Equation in constructing a novel consistent estimator of the stochastic discount factor (SDF) using panel data. Under general conditions it depends exclusively on appropriate averages of asset returns, and its computation is a...

Based on an idea in Backus, Foresi, and Telmer (1998) we extend the class of discrete-time affine multifactor Gaussian models by allowing factor innovations to be distributed as Gaussian mixtures. This is motivated by the observation that bond yield changes for some maturities are distinctly...

This paper introduces a simulation model extending the well known Capital Asset Pricing Model by Sharpe and Lintner. Investors are modeled as multi-period forward looking portfolio optimizers. However, the future is not known \emph{a priori}, but has to be modeled and estimated. We allow agents...

Price forecasting and trading strategies modelling are examined with major international stock indexes under different time horizons. Results demonstrate that an accurate prediction is equally important as a stable saving rate for long-term survivability. The best economic performances are...