This paper presents a quarterly global model linking individual country vector error-correcting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific foreign variables. The global VAR (GVAR) model is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area being treated as a single...

Present value calculations require predictions of cash flows both at near and distant future points in time. Such predictions are generally surrounded by considerable uncertainty and may critically depend on assumptions about parameter values as well as the form and stability of the data...

This paper aims to develop a model of trading in the stock market that can shed light on the sources of several widely reported empirical features of stock markets, including occasional predictability of excess returns using public information, 'excess volatility', and predictability of trading...

This paper considers estimation and inference in panel vector autoregressions (PVARs) with fixed effects when the time dimension is finite and the cross-sectional dimension is large. A Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimator based on a transformed likelihood function is proposed and shown to be...