This paper uses computational techniques to explore the relationship between trade and war. It develops and simulates an agent-based model in which trade and military conflict are emergent processes within a system of states. The model explores different initial configurations, and the economic...

This paper describes a methodology to estimate the coefficients, to test specification hypotheses and to conduct policy exercises in multi-country VAR models with cross unit interdependencies, unit specific dynamics and time variations in the coefficients. The framework of analysis is Bayesian:...

Over the past decade, questions over the impact of new information technologies on productivity growth trends have played an important role in the formulation of monetary policy, particularly in the United States and Canada. However, formal testing of whether the trend growth rate of aggregate...

We consider a continuous-time version of Ireland's Neo-Keynesian reinterpretation of the seminal Kydland-Prescott model, assuming now an heterogenous private sector. In each period, a fraction of the private agents naively believes the policy announcements made by the government. The other...

We simulate interbank lending. Each bank faces fluctuations in deposits and stochastic investment opportunities which mature with delay. This creates the risk of liquidity shortages. An interbank market lets participants pool this risk but also creates the potential for one bank's crisis to...

We build a small open-economy model with partial financial dollarization--households hold wealth in domestic currency and a foreign currency; firms also have a balance sheet mismatch as in Gertler, Gilchrist and Natalucci (2001). The degree of dollarization is endogenous to the extent of...