We use a simple chartist-fundamentalist model developed by Day and Huang to explore recent chaos control algorithms as potential candidates for central bank intervention rules. We find that methods such as delayed feedback control, OGY and constant feedback have, in principle, the potential to...

Central banks frequently intervene in foreign exchange markets to reduce volatility or to correct misalignments. Such operations may be successful if they drive away destabilizing speculators. However, the speculators do not simply vanish but may reappear on other foreign exchange markets. Using...

We connect two major strands of the recent monetary policy literature, i) the search for well microfounded optimising models consistent with macroeconomic data, especially persistence in inflation, and ii) the wealth of newly available microeconomic data on price changing behaviour from the...

Papers estimating the reaction function of the Bundesbank generally find that ist monetary policy from the 1970s to 1998 can well be captured by a standard Taylor rule according to which the central bank responds to the output gap and to deviations of inflation from target, but not to monetary...

Past empirical research on monetary policy in open economies has found the “delayed overshootingâ€, the “forward discount†and the “exchange rate†puzzles. We revisit the effects of monetary policy on exchange rates by applying Uhlig's (2005) identification procedure...

We analyze the microfoundations of the Phillips curve, a key relationship in general macroeconomics and models of monetary policy in particular. The form in current widespread use includes both forward looking expected inflation and lagged inflation. The presence of lagged inflation is necessary...

We use nonparametric, local regression and regression tree analysis to assess whether there exist multiple regimes in U.S. monetary policy over the period 1955:3-2000:2. We model U.S. monetary policy using a Taylor rule specification for the nominal interest rate target. By contrast with...